January 2025 Market Report
January 2025 Newsletter
Thurston Olsen Real Estate Group
Do you remember when you were younger, you may have calculated how old you would be when we hit the year 2000? Well, that somehow happened a quarter century ago!
The great thing about a new year is the endless possibilities that it presents to us. A fresh start to think on what we want to accomplish and an opportunity to “reset”
Now, let’s take a few minutes to give you another Real Estate update for January 2025.
What Are Your 2025 Real Estate Resolutions?
Let the TO Group help you check them off your list!
The start of a new year is a great time to reflect on the year prior as well as an opportunity to think ahead and plan for your future.
Some of us love goal setting and others can find it intimidating. Don’t sweat it! If your 2025 goals are real estate related, let us help you complete them!
Maybe your family is growing and it’s time for an upgrade?
We can help make that transition to your next home as smooth as possible for you and your family.
Maybe the kids have left the nest and you are ready to “right-size”?
We are here to help you decide what type of property best fits the next stage of your life and to make transitioning a breeze.
Maybe you are tired of paying rent to your landlord so that they can pay off their mortgage with your hard earned dollars?
Let’s help you buy that first home so that you can start building your own equity for YOUR future.
Maybe you’d like to build equity and earn passive income through real estate investing?
We have a ton of experience with income properties and can help you understand the benefits and responsibilities involved in owning one.
Just reach out for a casual, no obligation chat at any time. Even if your goals are for 2028 and beyond, we are always happy to start the conversation so that you can be set up for success when the time comes.
Utilize Us!
A friendly reminder that we are here to support you in all aspects of being a homeowner, not just to help you buy or sell homes.
We are consistently fine-tuning our rolodex of house related professionals so that we can provide you with trusted names for when you need them the most.
We have painters, landscapers, handy people, furnace and A/C specialists, roofers, contractors, plumbers, electricians, mortgage brokers, lawyers, just to name a few…
So if ever you are in need of a local professional, you can start with us! There is a good chance that we have just the right person to help you out
Call or email us anytime
2024 Is In The Rearview Mirror, So Now What?
The Toronto housing market experienced another shift in 2024. The number of sales were down and new listings were up, while we saw an increased condo inventory that we haven’t seen in recent history. Prices overall, were down by a modest 2.7% for the average home in the city of Toronto. The market for freehold homes held fairly steady as the demand for those (especially renovated ones) remained strong.
High borrowing costs weighed heavily on affordability throughout 2024, however the Bank of Canada’s rate cuts in the second half of the year offered some much needed relief.
Looking ahead, further rate reductions and stabilized home prices could signal improved conditions in 2025.
We are cautiously optimistic on what 2025 holds for our market given the instability of our Government and with a new President of the US coming into power.
With that being said, we are expecting the number of sales to rebound back to the levels we are used to, as well as a modest increase in the average price of a home in our amazing city. The condo inventory should start to shrink now that interest rates have improved affordability for first time buyers while our city continues to grow in population.
Check out the December year-over-year stats below for more information on the current market. If you would like statistics specific to your neighbourhood, an updated Comparative Market Analysis for your home, or help deciphering what the numbers could mean for you, please let us know and we would be happy to provide that for you.
Help Us Reach Our 2025 Real Estate Goals!
Like many of you, The TO Group also has real estate goals for 2025.
This year, we are determined to help as many of you, your family members, your friends, or your neighbours with their real estate needs. The more the merrier!
We would be forever grateful for the opportunity to help anyone you can think of that could use our expertise.
So feel free to introduce us! We promise we’ll make you look good.
We are so excited for 2025 and can’t wait to be of service to you and your people. Thank you for an amazing 2024!
Cheers! Chris and Ford
December 2024 Market Report
December 2024 Newsletter
Thurston Olsen Real Estate Group
Hey Friends!
As 2024 comes to a close, we want to take a moment to say THANK YOU to each and every one of you for helping to make 2024 an incredible year in real estate for the TO Group. Your trust, support, and referrals have made all the difference, and it’s been an absolute privilege helping you and your people navigate the Toronto market.
From finding dream homes to building wealth through smart investments, we’re grateful to be part of the journey.
Here’s to an even brighter 2025—cheers to you and your families!
Now, let’s take a few minutes to give you another Real Estate update for December 2024.
Mark Your Calendars! The Bank of Canada Makes Their Next Rate Announcement on December 11th
The Bank of Canada is set to announce its final interest rate decision of the year on December 11th. This will set the tone for borrowing costs heading into 2025, with impacts on mortgage rates and affordability. Many are speculating that the overnight rate will decrease by either 0.25% or 0.5%. This will directly affect those who have or will be going for variable rate mortgages.
It will be interesting to see what happens with the fixed rates as they follow the bond yields and are not as directly related to the Bank of Canada overnight rate as the variable rates are. The election of Donald Trump in the USA will have some effect, but as long as we continue to see weaker economic information from Canada (ie. increased unemployment rates) the fixed rates have a good chance of staying low.
If you’re up for renewal in the next year or two, it never hurts to reach out to a mortgage broker to discuss options.
Need a recommendation? We have some great mortgage partners that are here to help. Just ask!
Reminder! Bold Mortgage Reforms: Making Home Ownership More Accessible in Canada
Exciting mortgage policy changes take effect on December 15th, offering new opportunities for buyers:
- 30-Year Amortizations for First-Time Buyers & New Builds: Lower monthly payments mean improved affordability, but higher overall interest costs.
- Higher Purchase Threshold for Minimal Down Payments: Buyers can now put less than 20% down on homes priced up to $1.5M (up from $1M), though carrying costs remain significant.
- Easier Lender Switching: Insured mortgage holders can renew with a different lender without a stress test, encouraging better rate competition.
These reforms aim to make buying a home easier but may also increase market competition and boost prices. We anticipate that this will have the biggest effect on homes in the $1M-$1.3M range. We see a huge opportunity for multi-unit homes where buyers can buy with less down and can supplement the higher costs of borrowing with rental income.
What We Are Seeing From the Field
The Toronto housing market is heating up as home sales surged by 39.1% year-over-year in November 2024. Buyers are jumping in, thanks to reduced borrowing costs and favorable market conditions, while new listings increased by a modest 4.2% compared to November 2023. However, this imbalance tightened market conditions, nudging the average home price up 2.8% year-over-year to $1,080,167.
Key Highlights:
- Home Sales: 2,236 homes sold in November, with single-family detached homes driving much of the price growth.
- Listings: 4,360 new listings entered the market, showcasing more opportunities for buyers.
- Condo Market: While prices remain just below last year’s levels (down 1%), ample choice gives condo buyers strong negotiating power.
What’s Ahead?
With population growth fueling housing demand and borrowing costs trending lower, experts anticipate a robust market recovery in 2025.
This upbeat market trend hints at exciting times ahead. Whether you’re looking to buy, sell, or invest, now’s the time to plan your next move! Let’s Chat
Shout Out To A Local Business
In The Beach – Landscape Maintenance Specialists
Getting tired of staying on top of lawn maintenance, fall clean-ups, and snow removal? For some of us, life gets busy and exterior home maintenance tends to take a back seat. Why not consider hiring a trust-worthy professional and LOCAL company to help you protect your greatest investment, your home?
Our friends at In The Beach are a friendly and professional crew that focus on quality, dependability, and respect for their clients.
Book your seasonal services now and let the pros handle the hard work while you stay cozy indoors. Contact them today to secure your spot and make sure you mention that The TO Group sent you!
Thank You for Making Our Holiday Season Food Drive a Huge Success!
(We may need a bigger truck for the next one!)
Thanks to the incredible generosity of many, our East Side Food Drive Holiday Season food drive in support of the Daily Bread Food Bank was a huge success—our most rewarding one yet!
We couldn’t have done it without you! Every donation made a real difference for families who needed it most. A heartfelt thank you to everyone who contributed.
Let’s continue making an impact together!
As always, we’re here for any real estate services or advice you, your family, or friends might need. Whether it be next week, next month, or next year, it’s never too early to have a chat regarding real estate plans. Feel free to introduce us—we promise to make you look great! ?
Cheers!
Chris and Ford
June 2024 Market Report
Hey Friends!
Summer is almost here!
Summer just happens to be the favourite season for the TO Group.
We absolutely love summer and we wait all year for the warm weather and long fun-filled days.
A few of the many things we love about summer:
- Ford and Chris just happen to both have birthdays in July
- Beach Volleyball
- (more) Jays games
- Golf
- An ice cold beer (or two) on one of Toronto’s many patios
Enough about us, let’s take a few minutes to give you another real estate update for June 2024
After what feels like months of waiting, the Bank of Canada has made their first decrease in the overnight lending rate. With a collective sigh of relief from many, the BoC decreased the rate by 0.25% on Wednesday to sit at 4.75%. While the decrease won’t have a huge effect on affordability, it is a sign that things are starting to move in the right direction.
Many expect the initial drop in rates to result in more decreases over the next year or so (possibly adding up to 1.5%).
Generally speaking, there is usually a bit of a delay before we start to see these changes take place in the market, so we’ll see how quickly things unfold over the next few months.
So what does this mean? Well, if you have a variable mortgage for $1,000,000 (using round numbers), your monthly savings will be approximately $155 with the decrease of 0.25% to the overnight rate. It sure doesn’t seem like a lot, but it all adds up! If anything, this will likely start to give buyers a bit more confidence in Toronto real estate and they will likely enter the market. Often when we see more buyers enter the market, we see more competition, and we see price increases.
If you have been waiting to purchase your first home, or an investment property, now could be a great time to put your plan into action! The rate cuts are good news for many and there are currently plenty of great opportunities out there that we don’t expect will last very long.
This could be one of the best times to purchase a home in the last few years. Reach out at any time to chat about what this could mean for you!
As the warm weather comes, the real estate market tends to slow. People start to focus their attention on summer vacations vs. buying their next home. This is exactly what we saw happen as May transitioned into June.
Overall, prices in the city of Toronto stayed relatively flat comparing May 2024 to May 2023, coming in 0.3% lower than the previous year. The biggest change that we saw was the decrease in sales by 17.8% year-over-year. Even more interesting is that new listings in the GTA were up 21% over the same time period, meaning that there were many more options to choose from than what buyers are used to. There is plenty of speculation out there as to why this happened, however the most popular opinion is that buyers are waiting for rates to come down further before going shopping. Many families are getting stretched financially due to inflation and the higher cost of living which doesn’t always align with a move.
We noticed that the freehold market moved more quickly than the condo market, especially if a home was newly renovated and checked all of the boxes. There are plenty of condos to choose from out there, so buyers have ample choice to find their perfect home or investment.
Check out the May year-over-year stats below for more information on the current market. If you would like statistics specific to your neighbourhood, an updated Comparative Market Analysis for your home, or help deciphering what the numbers could mean for you, please let us know and we would be happy to provide that for you.
2118 Bloor St W unit 402 is an absolute stunner!
Big, Bright, and Beautiful on Bloor St W! Welcome home to this luxurious retreat at Picnic condos, a boutique building in High Park! This oversized corner unit features a custom floor plan, ample floor to ceiling windows, and is beaming with natural light. The modern kitchen showcases Scavolini cabinetry, high-end european appliances, upgraded gas cooking, and sleek Caesarstone countertops, complete with a breakfast bar. The open concept living space is perfect for entertaining friends and family and includes a walk out to a private balcony featuring a gas line for a BBQ. The Primary retreat boasts a picturesque tree-top view, dual walk through closets with built-in shelving, and a spacious spa-like 4-piece ensuite. Steps to all of the amazing shops, restaurants, cafes on Bloor St W, TTC, and the sprawling 400 acre High Park!
Check out www.2118BloorWest.com for more info and photos!
318 King St E unit 801 is one of the best valued condos in Corktown!
Welcome home to boutique urban living at The King East. This Oversized 1-bedroom condo offers the perfect blend of modern comfort and convenience. Enjoy the open concept living space with approx 9′ ceilings and concrete accents for a super cool loft-style feel. Includes a large bedroom with plenty of closet space and natural light. The modern open concept kitchen features full-sized stainless steel appliances (including a gas range), stone countertops, and floor to ceiling windows. This beautiful residence features 600 square feet of awesome in addition to the spacious balcony – complete with a gas line for a BBQ and stunning city views. Within walking distance to everything you need – Distillery District, St. Lawrence Market, George Brown College, parks, some of the best restaurants in the East end of the city. Multiple options for commuter access and TTC – including the future Ontario Line station that will be completed across the street. Move in and enjoy everything that this beautiful residence has to offer.
Check out www.318king.com for more info and photos!
The Bank of Canada has the following rate announcements scheduled for 2024. Interest rates have an integral effect on how our real estate market operates so it will be interesting to see how things unfold as the announcements come.
- Wednesday, July 24
- Wednesday, September 4
- Wednesday, October 23
- Wednesday, December 11
We are looking forward to some summer fun, but keep in mind that the summer real estate market is often full of opportunity. Let’s chat about what opportunities we can find for you!
As always, we would be happy to help you and any of your friends, family, colleagues, or neighbours with real estate services or advice. If you can think of anyone that could use our help, feel free to make an introduction! We promise we’ll make you look good ;)
Cheers!
Chris and Ford
May 2024 Market Report
Hey Friends!
We are EXCITED to feel the warm weather and to see the beautiful trees and flowers blooming throughout the city. Neighbours are hanging out on their front porches again and we can’t help but notice that more people are smiling ?
The real estate market is active and homes are being bought and sold.
Let’s take a few minutes to give you another Real Estate update for May 2024.
The Government of Canada dropped a bit of a surprise on us all a couple of weeks ago in relation to Capital Gains Taxes in Canada. This resulted in a bit of a worried frenzy among investors, financial planners, and accountants. The toughest blow is that they aren’t giving our citizens much time to change their plans that have likely been in place for years.
In relation to real estate, if you dispose of your capital property that is NOT your principal residence, the current rule states that 50% of the gain is included in your taxable income.
The new proposed rule will be that 66.7% of the gain will be included in your taxable income, if the property is disposed of on or after June 25, 2024.
There are some differences between individuals vs. corporations and trusts. For individuals, the first $250,000 of a capital gain realized after June 25, 2024 will be taxed at 50% and anything over and above that will be taxed at 67.7%
We are seeing a lot of real estate investors rush to the market looking for a quick sale in order to avoid the increased tax. If you own a secondary property, let’s take some time to do some quick math before making a snap-decision.
Assuming that you are in the highest tax bracket at 53.53%, a capital gain of $350,000 would result in a difference of approximately $9,000 more out of pocket with the new rules vs. the old ones.
Although it’s not ideal, it’s likely not as bad as it sounds. Where it will have the largest effect will be on people who have held an investment property for more than a decade who have realized a larger gain over time.
Now, don’t freak out! If you had no plans on selling your secondary property, it may not make sense to get it sold before June 25, 2024 (or maybe not even this year at all!). If it was on your radar to sell it this year, it may be worth getting it on the market and sold before June 25.
Just reach out! We are here to help you walk through all of your options. It would also be a great idea to touch base with your accountant and/or financial planner :)
Remember, teamwork makes your real estate dream work!
The Buyers are out and the Sellers are more willing to list their homes for sale after seeing prices bounce back after the brief dip caused by the hikes in interest rates. April came and went and interest rates stayed the same. The next rate announcement is June 5th and there is plenty of anticipation on whether or not the Bank of Canada will start to drop the interest rates. We’re sure that a drop in rates would be welcome by many!
Year-over-year stats were relatively flat with slight increases of approximately 3% overall in the city of Toronto. We did however see a 6% increase in all home types in the city of Toronto comparing March/24 to April/24, which is not uncommon for a traditional spring market.
The number of sales were also down year-over-year which meant increased choice for buyers. This and an increased number of available listings has also helped to keep the prices flat.
Freehold homes continue to get more attention than the condo market, garnering more multiple offer situations and quicker sales. As always, a properly presented and priced property will still move in almost any market (we can help with this!)
Overall, we feel that this is a relatively healthy market and there isn’t as much tension compared to spring markets in recent years – a much more enjoyable experience for buyers and sellers.
Check out the April year-over-year stats below for more information on the current market. If you would like statistics specific to your neighbourhood, an updated Comparative Market Analysis for your home, or help deciphering what the numbers could mean for you, please let us know and we would be happy to provide that for you.
Welcome home to boutique urban living at unit 801 at 318 King St E, The King East, where style meets comfort in this impressive one bedroom condo. This residence offers an inviting open-concept living space with engineered hardwood floors, approximately 9-foot ceilings and stylish concrete accents, evoking a trendy loft-style ambiance.
The modern kitchen features full-sized stainless steel appliances, sleek stone countertops and a new subway tile backsplash. Floor-to-ceiling windows fill the space with natural light throughout the day with spectacular sunsets to follow in the evening.
The spacious bedroom boasts large closets for plenty of storage, engineered hardwood floors and frosted glass sliding doors.
Spanning 600 square feet of wonderful living space inside, this residence also features a generously sized balcony with the convenience of a gas BBQ, perfect for outdoor dining, entertaining friends or simply unwinding while taking in the city views.
Suite 801 also includes the added convenience of ensuite laundry, a large front hall closet and a locker.
Check out www.318king.com for more info and photos.
We have been blessed to have had the opportunity to help many of you and your people so far this year.
We truly appreciate your support and feel extremely honoured that you choose The TO Group to refer to your family, friends, and colleagues. Thank you!
Cheers!
Chris and Ford
