May 2025 Newsletter
Thurston Olsen Real Estate Group
Hey Friends!
If you know the TO Group, you know we live for this time of year – not just because patios are buzzing and the Blue Jays are swinging for the fences – but because the Toronto Maple Leafs are in the playoffs and the spring real estate market is in full stride!
There’s just something electric about May in Toronto. The city comes alive – flags on porches, jerseys on backs, and Sold signs popping up on front lawns like spring tulips. Buyers are out, listings are blooming, and for many families, it’s game time.
Whether you’re looking to score your next dream home, weighing a move, or just keeping an eye on the market (while nervously watching OT), we’ve got you covered.
Here’s your May 2025 Market Update – complete with all the latest stats, insights, and opportunities to help you stay ahead of the play.
Let’s drop the puck and get into it!
What We Are Seeing From the Field
April brought a typical seasonal increase in real estate activity compared to March, but total home sales across Toronto were still down compared to this time last year. In fact, Toronto REALTORS® reported 2,129 sales through TRREB’s MLS® system – a 17.5% drop year-over-year. Why? Many buyers are still sitting on the sidelines, waiting for lower borrowing costs and more economic certainty before jumping in.
With that said, new listings were up 6.8%, giving buyers more choice and leverage. With inventory at elevated levels, buyers had more room to negotiate, which put downward pressure on prices across some segments of the market.
Taking into account all market segments in Toronto, the average selling price in April was $1,144,977, down 0.6% compared to April 2024.
What does that mean for you? If you’re a buyer, it’s a rare moment of increased supply and softer prices – a window of opportunity in a market that usually moves fast. If you’re a seller, pricing strategy and presentation are key, especially as more inventory means more competition.
Looking ahead, we expect that many households are keeping a close eye on how the new federal government handles trade relations, particularly with the U.S.
A more optimistic economic outlook could restore consumer confidence and bring more buyers back into the market.
Check out the April year-over-year stats below for more information on the current market. If you would like statistics specific to your neighbourhood, an updated Comparative Market Analysis for your home, or help deciphering what the numbers could mean for you, please let us know and we would be happy to provide that for you.
What to Expect for Housing & Mortgages After the Election
Well – that all happened quickly! With the Liberals re-elected under new leader Mark Carney, and another minority government in place, housing remains front and centre in Canadian policy conversations.
Here’s a quick breakdown of what the election outcome could mean for buyers, sellers, and homeowners:
Help for First-Time Buyers
One of the biggest promises? Removing GST on new homes under $1 million for first-time buyers. That’s a potential savings of up to $50,000. The policy hasn’t been passed yet, but it’s expected to be outlined in the federal budget next month.
Big Push for New Builds
Over $25 billion has been pledged to speed up housing construction – especially affordable and rental units where Canadians want to live – with support for municipalities, non-profits, and developers through low-cost financing.
Infrastructure & Zoning Support
Expect continued investment in transit, utilities, and municipal partnerships to support higher-density development, especially around transit stations — something Toronto has already been moving toward.
Rates Could Dip Further
Economists are predicting that The Bank of Canada may cut rates once or twice more this year, depending on economic conditions. That’s welcome news for variable-rate borrowers and anyone with a renewal coming up. Still, with global uncertainty, the path forward isn’t set in stone.
We’ll have more clarity once the federal budget is released – likely in June. In the meantime, it’s a great opportunity to review your plans and chat through any moves you’re thinking of making this year.
It’s Patio Season! (And we couldn’t be happier)
It’s always an exciting time of year when you can trade winter boots for sunglasses and hit some of your favourite patios! Here are some of our faves:
When we’re feeling laid-back after some tough negotiations, you’ll find us at Betty’s East soaking up the sun with a pint, or enjoying the family-friendly vibes and strong espresso game at Black Pony on Gerrard St E.
CafeTO’s patio setups make the city feel a bit like a Euro vacation (minus the airfare), while Lion on the Beach is perfect for casual hangs and people-watching on Queen St E in the Beach(es).
For tacos and tequila under the stars, it’s hard to beat the back patios at Chula or Tinga Kim in Leslieville. Bonus points to Nodo for pasta, wine, and a great vibe.
Do you have any favourites that we missed? Let us know – our research is always ongoing!
We’re Here To Help!
As always, we would be happy to help you and any of your friends, family, colleagues, or neighbours with real estate services or advice. If you can think of anyone who could use our help, feel free to make an introduction! We promise we’ll make you look good.
Cheers!
Chris and Ford
